- How Leaders Can Predict the Future
By Connie Williams
One of the biggest problems facing companies and other organizations is how to plan for the future. What to invest in? Where to place your bets? We don’t have the ability to perfectly predict the future, but we do have the creative thinking skills and behaviors to build an imaginative look at the future and to help companies create powerful future scenarios and plan appropriate implications create powerful future scenarios and plan appropriate implications.
The only way to be successful is to be able to build new, advantaged knowledge – what others do not know, but we discover through powerful designs. We also want to discover the unknown future opportunities – what we don’t know we don’t know.
- Foresight is discovering and creating the longer term future needs and wants of the marketplace.
To be successful, we have to do more than long term strategy; an advanced model for foresight requires treating it as much more than the prediction of futurists or a technology development exercise. It should involve both analytical and imaginative thinking, which reaches beyond typical corporate approaches to strategic planning.
And, it typically does not have a single answer – we must consider multiple scenarios and make some collective bets to create a true shared Vision of the Future.
Look at long term trends both regionally and globally and include individual catalyst, expert and provocateur stimulus to challenge and shift your future expectations. Being inspired beyond pure trend extrapolation, is the only way to have a powerful impact on future consumer and customer behaviors, thus profoundly changing the needs they may have for products and services.
A strong Foresight approach explores the contradictions and paradox in market data to build unexpected future scenarios – rather than ignoring that which is disparate.
Senior leaders need to “force-fit” disparate and emerging aspects of cultural, social, political and technological evolution to break through their own existing filters and to be able to push into new ground and imaginatively create alternative future scenarios.
While we can not completely predict the future – we can certainly be prepared with the right competencies and expectations if we face it, creatively, with an open mind and a powerful imagination.
This article is an updated version of Connie’s What’s Next, Foresight chapter of Imagine That!